Nigerian banks elevated lending to traders within the first half of 2026, whereas producers noticed a pointy drop in excellent financial institution credit.
This is in accordance to Nairametrics Research’s evaluation of sectoral credit information printed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
Average credit to commerce and normal commerce rose 62% in contrast with the identical interval final yr.
Manufacturing credit, in the meantime, fell by about 27%, displaying that the rise in lending didn’t attain all elements of the economic system equally.
Traders entice more financial institution credit
Trade and normal commerce recorded the most important enhance within the worth of excellent credit among the many sectors that attracted more financial institution financing. Average credit to the sector reached N5.94 trillion in H1 2026, up 62.04% from N3.66 trillion in H1 2025, the strongest year-on-year development in absolute naira phrases among the many rising sectors.
The figures measure excellent mortgage balances being the quantity debtors owed banks on common through the interval, slightly than the worth of contemporary loans banks permitted.
Other sectors additionally recorded will increase:
- Financial companies remained the second-largest recipient of financial institution credit after the commercial oil and fuel sector.
- Agriculture attracted more credit, alongside building, energy and vitality.
- Transportation and storage additionally recorded development, displaying that the beneficial properties prolonged past buying and selling and monetary actions.
Overall, 12 of the 17 sectors tracked recorded will increase, whereas 5 noticed declines.
However, common excellent credit throughout the economic system was solely barely greater than a yr earlier. This means the stronger development recorded in commerce and several other different sectors got here alongside substantial reductions elsewhere, slightly than a broad surge in lending to companies.
Manufacturers face a distinct image
Manufacturing moved in the other way, with common excellent credit falling 26.94% to N5.71 trillion in H1 2026 from N7.81 trillion in H1 2025. The decline left the sector behind commerce and normal commerce within the distribution of financial institution credit. As not too long ago as H1 2022, manufacturing accounted for 16.43% of complete excellent financial institution credit; by H1 2026 that share had fallen to 9.58%.
For readers, the distinction is easy: traders accounted for a bigger portion of banks’ excellent loans, whereas producers accounted for much less. The figures alone don’t clarify whether or not that mirrored banks’ lending choices, weaker borrowing demand, mortgage repayments or a mixture of things.
The decline additionally prolonged to different sectors:
- Industrial oil and fuel remained the biggest recipient of financial institution credit, however its excellent steadiness fell.
- General companies recorded a considerable contraction.
- Information and communication know-how, as effectively as actual property, additionally acquired much less credit than a yr earlier.
Manufacturing’s decline follows earlier warnings about entry to financing. Nairametrics beforehand reported that the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria raised considerations a couple of N1.92 trillion fall in manufacturing credit throughout 2025.
The newest figures present that the stress on manufacturing credit continued into the primary half of 2026.
Will decrease charges change lending?
The subsequent query is whether or not decrease rates of interest will assist companies entry more reasonably priced financial institution loans. The CBN lowered its benchmark Monetary Policy Rate to 23% in September 2026, after the interval lined by these figures.
That timing issues as a result of the first-half information can not present whether or not the September choice has modified lending circumstances. A discount within the benchmark price additionally doesn’t instantly set up that companies can borrow more cheaply.
The developments to watch embrace:
- Whether banks cut back the rates of interest they cost companies on loans.
- Whether lending to the manufacturing sector begins to get well in subsequent CBN stories.
- Whether credit development extends to more sectors, significantly people who recorded declines within the first half of the yr.
MAN Director-General Segun Ajayi-Kadir beforehand advised Nairametrics that prime lending charges round 30% might proceed to restrict producers’ entry to reasonably priced financing, regardless of the benchmark price discount.
