African airways’ air cargo demand rose by 4.7% year-on-year in September 2026, even as cargo capacity declined, in keeping with the newest report from the International Air Transport Association (IATA).
The figures got here amid a 7.7% improve in world air cargo demand, supported by stronger commerce and manufacturing exercise and shipments linked to synthetic intelligence.
However, rising jet gasoline costs continued to place strain on airline working prices.
African air cargo capacity declines
The report exhibits that African airways’ cargo capacity contracted by 1.2% year-on-year, contrasting with the two.7% improve recorded globally. International cargo demand rose by 8.6%, whereas worldwide capacity elevated by 3.3%.
- North American airways recorded an 11.8% improve in cargo demand, whereas capacity rose by 0.8%.
- Asia-Pacific airways recorded demand development of 8.6% and capacity development of 4.9%.
- European airways’ cargo demand elevated by 4.5%, whereas capacity declined by 1.6%.
Middle Eastern airways recorded demand development of three.8%, in contrast with capacity development of seven%, whereas Latin American and Caribbean airways recorded will increase of 6.7% in demand and seven.6% in capacity.
IATA Senior Vice President for Sustainability and Chief Economist Marie Owens Thomsen mentioned, “Air cargo demand rose 7.7% year-on-year in September, with growth across all regions. Stronger global trade and manufacturing provided a supportive backdrop, while AI-related shipments helped drive another month of double-digit growth across the Pacific.”
The Asia–North America commerce lane remained the strongest-performing main hall, adopted by intra-Asia site visitors, Europe–North America and Europe–Asia. Cargo site visitors declined on the Europe–Middle East and Middle East–Asia corridors.
Jet gasoline costs greater than double in September
Despite stronger world cargo demand, rising gasoline costs continued to weigh on airline profitability. IATA reported that jet gasoline costs elevated by 17.5% month-on-month in September and had been 103.4% increased than a yr earlier.
Global commerce elevated by 3.6% year-on-year in August, marking 42 consecutive months of development. Manufacturing indicators additionally strengthened in the course of the interval.
- The world manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index rose by 0.7 factors to 53.8.
- The New Export Orders Index elevated by 0.5 factors to 51.9.
- Both indicators reached their highest ranges in 5 years.
- IATA mentioned airline yields had not stored tempo with rising bills, including to strain on profitability.
The figures level to a supportive setting for air cargo volumes, however increased gasoline prices stay a problem for airways looking for to translate demand development into stronger monetary efficiency.
African air cargo tendencies From February to August
African airways’ cargo efficiency different significantly within the months main as much as September, with demand and capacity recording totally different development charges. The figures present that demand development was notably sturdy in February and May earlier than moderating in subsequent months.
- In August, cargo demand elevated by 3% year-on-year, whereas capacity expanded by 14%.
- In July, demand rose by 1.1%, whereas capacity grew by 4.1%.
- In June, demand elevated by 4.7%, even as capacity declined by 7.1%.
- In May, demand rose by 13.3%, whereas capacity elevated by 1.3%.
- In April, demand grew by 7.7%, whereas capacity fell by 9.4%. March recorded 7% demand development, whereas February noticed demand improve by 21%, with the Africa–Asia hall recording notably sturdy development of 61.9%.
The Africa–Asia hall subsequently contracted by 11.9% year-on-year in August, marking its third consecutive month-to-month decline at that time.
Nigeria’s air freight market and development prospects
Nigeria’s air freight market may benefit from development in cargo demand, notably for time-sensitive shipments, diaspora exports and business-to-business and consumer-to-consumer commerce.
Aramex Nigeria Managing Director Faisal Jarmakani has estimated the nation’s air freight logistics market at greater than $8 billion. Lagos serves as the nation’s main cargo hub, whereas Abuja, Port Harcourt and Kano are additionally essential gateways.
- Airport cargo-processing delays can sluggish the motion of shipments.
- High dealing with expenses improve the price of shifting items via the air freight system.
- Limited know-how integration amongst regulatory companies can complicate logistics and cargo clearance.
- Improved digitisation, decrease logistics prices and higher warehousing may help larger effectivity within the sector.
For Nigerian companies, air freight stays essential for items that want to succeed in their locations rapidly. The capacity of native operators to profit from development in world air cargo demand may also rely upon the effectivity and price of the home logistics chain.
